Comments on: FirstStrike Trading System, Part III https://easylanguagemastery.com/strategies/firststrike-trading-system-part-iii/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=firststrike-trading-system-part-iii Helping you Master EasyLanguage Fri, 29 Jul 2022 17:12:14 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0 By: Andras https://easylanguagemastery.com/strategies/firststrike-trading-system-part-iii/#comments/5963 Wed, 31 Jul 2013 07:26:45 +0000 http://systemtradersuccess.com/?p=3295#comment-5963 Thank you Jeff for the quick response,

Yes, I have been waiting for the 4th article 🙂 It is very interesting how you approached it and I am eagerly awaiting your results as I am not a programmer, so it is hard for me to back test this much data (I do it manually, takes for ages).

keep up the great work..
Andras

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By: Jeff Swanson https://easylanguagemastery.com/strategies/firststrike-trading-system-part-iii/#comments/5962 Tue, 30 Jul 2013 19:33:28 +0000 http://systemtradersuccess.com/?p=3295#comment-5962 In reply to Andras.

Andras, you’re right it has been a while. I’ll put this on the list for future articles. I’ll try to get to it soon. The earliest would be late August, however. Thanks for letting me know you’re interested in seeing new articles on First Strike.

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By: Andras https://easylanguagemastery.com/strategies/firststrike-trading-system-part-iii/#comments/5961 Tue, 30 Jul 2013 06:46:23 +0000 http://systemtradersuccess.com/?p=3295#comment-5961 Dear Jeff,

I am eagerly waiting the next episode of this series. Do you have an idea when it will be ready?

thanks so much.

Andras

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By: Mark https://easylanguagemastery.com/strategies/firststrike-trading-system-part-iii/#comments/5960 Fri, 21 Dec 2012 18:55:08 +0000 http://systemtradersuccess.com/?p=3295#comment-5960 In reply to Jeff Swanson.

Well said. Thanks!

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By: Jeff Swanson https://easylanguagemastery.com/strategies/firststrike-trading-system-part-iii/#comments/5959 Thu, 20 Dec 2012 22:55:04 +0000 http://systemtradersuccess.com/?p=3295#comment-5959 In reply to Mark.

Hello Mark. I think I understand what you are asking. By optimizing on the baseline system you are not taking into account other filters or variables which can increase the chances of curve fitting due to the interaction of the two filters. In short, you really want to avoid optimizing parameters when multivariables are being used. The more parameters you have, the more optimized the system. The more optimized the system, the more you increase the chance of curve fitting. Thus, I optimize values interdependently. If you do independently optimize two filters then introduce them to together and make a decision not to use one of the filters, yes you are optimizing and may be curve fitting. However, you can never completely get away from curve fitting. It’s always a possibility of life, much like getting into an auto accident when driving. You do your absolute best to minimize the chance. However, you must get into your car to reach your destination and you must make decisions and put your money at risk to reach your trading goals.

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By: Mark https://easylanguagemastery.com/strategies/firststrike-trading-system-part-iii/#comments/5958 Thu, 20 Dec 2012 20:32:06 +0000 http://systemtradersuccess.com/?p=3295#comment-5958 What’s the difference between optimizing the profit target on the baseline trade then adding to the modified system and simply optimizing the profit target on the modified system? I like your reasoning for doing the former (so as not to overfit) but if you then choose to use it or not based on the combined equity curve then that seems overfitting what you just made an effort to not overfit. Does that make sense?

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